Price history
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Description
U.S. invasion risk of Venezuela markets cover four outcomes tied to whether a U.S. military offensive to control any portion of Venezuela begins between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution follows a consensus of credible reporting, with sovereignty as of September 6, 2025 treated by de facto control. The four markets specify the deadline windows and end dates for settlement.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.