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Description
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?: A set of yes/no markets tracks whether active U.S. military personnel physically enter Venezuelan territory (excluding maritime or airspace) between market creation and the specified date. Special operation forces count; intelligence operatives do not. Contractors, advisors, or diplomats and their entourages do not. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting and the entrant must be on land within Venezuela's borders before the deadline.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| January 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.