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Description
Will Trump nationalize elections? is a binary market on whether Donald Trump signs federal legislation or issues executive actions by December 31, 2026 that give the federal government new authority to directly manage vote-counting, certification, or voting in federal elections across multiple states. Resolution requires a law or action creating continuing federal control over previously-local election administration in more than one state, with official government announcements or credible reporting used as sources.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nationalize elections? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.