Description
July 4: Yes if Donald Trump makes any public personal insult or attack on a real person on July 4, 2026 (ET); settlement via credible reporting consensus.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jul 1, 2026, 05:44
Resolve date
Jul 4, 2026, 13:39
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 1 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 2 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 3 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 4 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 5 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 6 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 8 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 11 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 12 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 13 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 14 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 15 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 17 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.