Description
November 30: Yes if an official announcement or confirmation is made by November 30, 2025; No if not.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Nov 1, 2025, 00:03
Resolve date
Dec 1, 2025, 07:28
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| November 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.