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Description
Trump administration or U.S. government announces, has announced, or will announce Tomahawk cruise missiles being sent to Ukraine by October 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying official statement within the window suffices for Yes; absence of such an official statement leads to No. Resolution relies on official policy announcements or, if unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| November 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.