Description
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? is a binary market about whether Mamdani ceases to be mayor for any period before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves Yes if he leaves office at any time within the period, including an official resignation or removal, or if an official succession occurs by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET and the market stops being in effect. The primary resolution source is official announcements from Mamdani, his team, or the Office of the Mayor, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.” An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.