Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Hottest July on record markets compare July 2026 to all prior Julys using the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. If July 2026 ties for a top three position, it resolves within the corresponding bracket. Resolution sources include NASA’s Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index table, column Jul, or credible sources if NASA data is unavailable by August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
4
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st hottest | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2nd hottest | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 3rd hottest | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 4th or lower | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 versus the data points available for all other Julys on record. Note: If July 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.