Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Avg. number of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by end of June 2026 is reported from IMF Portwatch as a 7-day moving average of transit calls (arrivals of ships) for June 30, 2026. Only IMF Portwatch-reported vessel types—container, dry bulk, Ro-Ro, general cargo, and tanker—count, with data finalized when the next date’s point is published. If finalization is delayed, the market resolves using published data up to the allowed window, with a 14-day fallback and a data-integrity provision for corrections.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
5
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?Iran leadership change by...?US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.