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Description
Canada’s population Up or Down this year? hinges on Canada’s fourth-quarter populations for 2026 vs 2025. Up resolves if Q4 2026 population exceeds Q4 2025; Down resolves if it is lower. If equal, or if the Q4 2026 release is unavailable by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the market settles 50-50. Resolution source is StatCan’s quarterly population estimates for Q4 2026, based on the initial release.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada's population Up or Down this year? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.