Description
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? tracks whether the Liberal Party holds a majority of seats in the House of Commons for any period from December 12, 2025 through June 30, 2026. If Parliament is dissolved before June 30, 2026, the market resolves to No. Settlement relies on official government seating data or credible reporting confirming seat counts, disregarding any alliances or coalitions.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Party of Canada holds a majority of seats in the House of Commons for any period of time between December 12, 2025 and June 30, 2026, otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if Parliament is dissolved before June 30, 2026. This markets resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the Liberal Party of Canada, not any alliance or coalition of which it may be a part. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government or a consensus of credible reporting.