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Description
A province scheduling a referendum on secession from Canada before 2027 would resolve this market as Yes. The rule requires an official timetable or announcement from a provincial government, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, indicating a potential path to independence. Consult credible reporting for settlement when such a schedule is announced or clearly reported.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.