Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? tracks whether OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as Full Outage, resolved between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on August 31. Resolution follows OpenAI status pages or credible reporting when needed, focusing on incidents affecting ChatGPT and excluding APIs, Codex, FedRamp, or Ads Platform issues unless ChatGPT is impacted.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
GPT-6 released by…?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?OpenAI IPO by...?Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.