Description
Clacton by-election concerns Nigel Farage's vote share in the parliamentary by-election, with outcomes defined by the reported percentage of valid votes Farage receives. Brackets resolve to the reported bracket range, unless a definitive result yields a higher bracket in case of ties. If Farage does not stand or results are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting or, if needed, official Tendring District Council and UK Parliament results.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farage <40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 40–50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 50–60% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 60–70% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 70–80% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 80%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).