Farage 40–50% to win the 2027 Clacton by-election vote-share bracket, resolving to the reported 40–50% range. If the share sits exactly on 40% or 50%, the higher bracket applies. Settlement via credible reporting or Tendring District Council/UK Parliament results.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farage <40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 40–50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 50–60% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 60–70% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 70–80% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 80%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — |
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).