Description
Farage 70–80% to win the 2027 Clacton by-election vote-share bracket, resolving to the 70–80% range based on credible counts or official results.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jul 8, 2026, 15:24
Resolve date
Jun 30, 2027, 23:59
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farage <40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 40–50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 50–60% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 60–70% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 70–80% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Farage 80%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).