Description
Earthquake count markets track the number of earthquakes with magnitude 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth from July 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET to July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Settles based on USGS Earthquake Hazards Program data; if an event appears later, the market may stay open until July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or until a credible alternate source confirms the magnitude. Final revisions on July 21 or later are allowed within 24 hours after the last day’s data, then the final tally settles.
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.