Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Largest private company end of July? The market tracks private-market valuations on July 31, 2026, published by NPM. NPM data for each trading day is posted at 1:00 PM ET the following day, with a possible extension if data is unavailable until August 4, 2026; resolution follows the company with the highest NPM valuation, using tie-breakers by first attainment then alphabetically. Valuations consider pre-IPO private market values and apply exclusions where firms cease to exist or merge, per the rules.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
11
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?What will OpenAI's public ticker be?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anthropic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Canva | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Databricks | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Epic Games | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kraken | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lambda | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Neuralink | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OpenAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Perplexity | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stripe | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to the listed company with the largest private market valuation on July 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. If two or more companies are tied for the highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-625e5f47-7ff7-45c4-be95-0305665164bd/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330/data https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0/data.