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Description
EU-wide sanctions on Russia by March 31, 2026 require an official EU act imposing new measures between market creation and 11:59 PM ET. Only sanctions targeting the Russian state by the EU as a collective entity count; unilateral actions by individual member states do not. Resolution sources include official EU information or credible reporting confirming the EU's formal sanctions package.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities that do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.