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Description
Nuclear weapon detonation by...?: A question about whether a nuclear detonation will occur before 2027. With_rules not provided, the description states the basic inquiry and notes that resolution follows the defined, event-specific standard for this market as determined by credible reporting or official announcements.
Event stats
24h volume
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Liquidity
Markets
3
Market highlights
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Related events
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?Putin out as President of Russia by...?Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?U.S. nuclear test by...?Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of___?Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Before 2027 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between November 5, 2025 ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth or in space will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.