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Description
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? concerns whether Benjamin Netanyahu announces he will not run for reelection in the October 27, 2026 Knesset elections. The market resolves to Yes if Netanyahu makes a definitive public exit by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves to No. Official statements from Netanyahu or a credible consensus reporting that he will not run will settle Yes, while non-definitive remarks do not count.
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2
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.