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Description
Next Prime Minister of Spain? is a markets set surrounding who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution requires a vote of confidence in the Congress of Deputies and a formal swearing-in that forms a new government; interim leaders without a parliamentary confidence vote do not count. The government’s official announcements drive settlement, with credible reporting as a fallback if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| María Jesús Montero | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yolanda Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ernest Urtasun | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aitor Esteban | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Miguel Tellado | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ester Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Santiago Abascal | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pepa Millán | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cuca Gamarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Borja Sémper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carles Puigdemont | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Cuerpo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Óscar Puente | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AA | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AB | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AD | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AE | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AF | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AG | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AH | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AK | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AL | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AM | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AN | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AO | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AQ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AR | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.