Description
María Jesús Montero to become Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, following a confidence vote and swearing-in that forms a new government. Non-confirmation by parliament means this outcome does not resolve in her favor.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jun 26, 2026, 17:29
Resolve date
Mar 31, 2028, 23:59
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| María Jesús Montero | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yolanda Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ernest Urtasun | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aitor Esteban | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Miguel Tellado | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ester Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Santiago Abascal | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pepa Millán | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cuca Gamarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Borja Sémper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carles Puigdemont | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Cuerpo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Óscar Puente | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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| Person AR | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.