Description
Aitor Esteban to become Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, after a confidence vote in Congress and formal swearing-in establishing a new government. Interims without a confidence vote do not count.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 26, 2026, 17:37
Resolve date
Mar 31, 2028, 23:59
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| María Jesús Montero | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yolanda Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ernest Urtasun | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aitor Esteban | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Miguel Tellado | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ester Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Santiago Abascal | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pepa Millán | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cuca Gamarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Borja Sémper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carles Puigdemont | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Cuerpo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Óscar Puente | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person Z | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AA | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AB | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AD | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AE | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AF | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AG | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AH | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AK | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AL | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AM | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AN | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AO | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AP | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AQ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Person AR | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.