Price history
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Description
Nothing Ever Happens: July centers on a set of global-event triggers. If, between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any of the listed conditions occur—USA or any African country wins the World Cup; a US–Iran final nuclear deal is reached; Iran agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile; WTI crude hits 150 USD or higher; the Fed changes policy in July; or Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire—the market resolves to Something. If none occur, the market resolves to Nothing.
Event stats
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Markets
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Market highlights
Top market
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Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayNothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing Ever Happens: AprilStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Who will enter Iran by June 30?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: July | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf