Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 tracks a broad set of geopolitical, economic, and natural-event triggers. The market resolves to Yes unless any listed conditions occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET, in which case it resolves to No. Conditions include major geopolitical shifts, military actions, large-scale disasters, or notable anomalies, with resolution based on the appearance or non-appearance of these events in credible reporting and verified sources.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?Iran strikes Israel on...?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf