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Description
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? is a binary market about whether Pete Hegseth ceases to hold the U.S. Secretary of Defense role for any period before 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026. A resignation or removal announcement by that date resolves to Yes immediately, even if the effective date is later. Settlement relies on official government information or credible reporting consensus when needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.