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Description
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal? A written agreement binding the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran by July 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) requires signing by the listed individual in an official capacity. The signer may act for either party, a third state, or an international body, and both physical or official electronic signatures are valid. A signing by the listed individual triggers Yes; otherwise, No. The primary resolution source is official government or party announcements, with credible-reporting consensus as a fallback.
Event stats
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20
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| JD Vance | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marco Rubio | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pete Hegseth | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Steve Witkoff | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Abbas Araghchi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ali Larijani | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mohammed bin Salman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Recep Tayyip Erdogan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shehbaz Sharif | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| King Abdullah II | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Abdel Fattah el-Sisi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.