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Description
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by the specified date? Project Freedom sought to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. The market resolves to Yes if an official announcement from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, or the U.S. military states that Project Freedom will be restarted by the deadline (11:59 PM ET) on the given date, or if an equally new U.S. military program to escort, protect, or retrieve ships is announced. Only definitive statements count; non-committal or exploratory language does not. Any qualifying announcement within the window will settle the market, regardless of when the program would take effect.
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Rules
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.