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Description
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? is a binary market built on SpaceX and Elon Musk announcements. Settlement occurs if SpaceX or Elon Musk confirms Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; a No outcome applies otherwise. The rule hinges solely on a formal announcement from SpaceX or Elon Musk or their official representatives, not on any demonstrated reuse or technical tests.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.