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Description
US defaults on debt by 2027? tracks whether the U.S. federal government misses a scheduled payment on any Treasury security between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A Yes resolves if a default is officially classified by standard rating agencies or Treasury-announced default events occur within the window; No if no such default is observed. Resolution relies on official results from the U.S. Treasury and major credit rating agencies.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US defaults on debt by 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.