Description
Which company has the best AI agent as of end-July 2026? The market resolves by identifying the model with the highest rank on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (Agent) as of July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The ranking uses the Leaderboard’s Rank column, with ties broken by leaderboard order, then alphabetically by company name. Results depend on the public leaderboard at check time, and if unavailable, the market remains open until it returns or another resolution source is used.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| OpenAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ByteDance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amazon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meta | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Microsoft | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company M | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.