Description
December 31: El Salvador’s bitcoin holdings reach or exceed $1,000,000,000 at any point by December 31, 2025, as tracked by ARKHAM INTEL or official government announcements, with credible reporting allowed if the tracker is unavailable.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Aug 27, 2025, 23:47
Resolve date
Jan 1, 2026, 08:21
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.