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Description
Greenland’s independence question in 2026 asks whether an independence referendum will be held and pass with a majority. The market resolves to Yes if Greenland holds a referendum and a majority votes for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise, No. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark counts as independence support, and official government announcements are the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as a fallback.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.