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Description
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? is a binary market asking whether the United States and Denmark will have a military encounter involving direct use of force between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A Yes resolves if incidents such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchanges of gunfire, or other direct engagement occur between US and Danish forces; non-violent actions do not. The Coast Guard is part of the US military and the Royal Danish Navy and Danish armed forces are part of Denmark’s military; Yes also counts scenarios where a ship is ramming-damaged in a way that sinks or causes significant damage. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.