Description
Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch status is tracked through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite launches by that deadline, the Yes market settles; if not, the No market settles. Resolution relies on SpaceX official video evidence, with secondary feeds or reports as needed, while post-launch anomalies or satellite name changes do not affect outcome.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.