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Description
SpaceX Starship launches reaching space (62 miles above sea level) in 2026 will be counted across the calendar year from January 1 to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A launch is successful if the Starship leaves the pad and reaches at least 62 miles; post-62-mile anomalies do not affect the outcome. Resolution relies on SpaceX’s official video feed and corroborating credible reporting when needed.
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8
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Markets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.