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Description
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? is a forecast on whether the United States will officially announce that Greenland comes under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution requires an official U.S.-Denmark-Greenland announcement or a credible report confirming that Greenland has fallen under U.S. governance, with sovereignty defined as majority-territory transfer or formal governance within the US system. Social posts alone do not qualify.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.