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Description
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? is a binary decision market focused on U.S. formal recognition of the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state. Settlement occurs if the United States formally recognizes Somaliland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; recognition must be official government action, not mere statements or changes in diplomatic status. The resolution source is U.S. government announcements, with credible-reporting consensus as a fallback.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
1
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Top market
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.