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Description
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? A Yes resolves if the Panama Canal comes under U.S. control by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET), whether by diplomatic agreement, military action, or other means. Official U.S. and Panamanian announcements confirming control count, with a credible-reporting consensus as a fallback if results are not immediate. No if control does not transfer by the deadline or if only social-media posts claim it without official validation.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means. An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.