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Description
Countries invited to join the US-led Board of Peace to oversee Gaza conflict resolution are tracked through a binary Yes/No outcome. The market resolves Yes if a listed country publicly announces definitive membership or official government confirmation, or credible reporting confirms formal joining by February 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves No. Primary sources are government announcements, supplemented by credible reporting consensus when needed.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
21
Market highlights
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Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| France | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Israel | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Germany | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ukraine | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| India | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Denmark | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Norway | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sweden | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Turkiye | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Palestine | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Netherlands | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| U.K. | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Belgium | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Spain | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Italy | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brazil | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hungary | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Switzerland | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Finland | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.