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Description
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20, 2026? A Yes settles if video or photographic evidence shows Donald Trump hugging any current Islamic Republic of Iran government official by 11:59 PM ET on June 20, 2026, with the hug defined as an in-person, arm-wrapped greeting where both participants face each other; No settles otherwise. Resolution relies on the released footage or images.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump hugs any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. A qualifying partner in a hug with Donald Trump must be a current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.