Description
Donald Trump handshake with an Iranian government official by June 20, 2026 (11:59 PM ET) is required for a Yes. The handshake must be in person, voluntary, and direct hand-to-hand contact, with clear video or photographic record released within the window. Non-handshake greetings do not qualify; resolution relies on the released evidence and a verification process of whether the Iranian official participated.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.