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Description
Vance handshake with an Iranian official by June 20, 2026 is the focus. The market resolves to Yes if JD Vance shakes hands with any current Islamic Republic government official by 11:59 PM ET on June 20, 2026, with video or photo released within the window as evidence. The handshake must be in person, voluntary, and direct hand-to-hand contact, and evidence must clearly show the handshake; non-handshake greetings or unclear contact do not qualify.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying partner in a handshake with JD Vance must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.