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Description
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31, 2026? Sam Bankman-Fried would receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump if such an action occurs by 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026. The primary resolution source is official government information, with credible reporting as a fallback. If a pardon becomes structurally impossible within the window, the outcome settles to No.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.