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Description
Will US crude oil reserves fall to a specified SPR ending-stocks level by August 28, 2026? Weekly U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve are measured in thousands of barrels; a Yes resolves if any weekly figure published on or before August 28, 2026 is less than or equal to the listed target. If the target is not reached by that date, or data is incomplete, the No outcome will apply unless the final available data meets the threshold. Resolution sources are official EIA weekly reports, with data published at the linked EIA historical history page.
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Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.