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Description
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027? concerns whether the President of Syria is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Yes resolves if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or cannot fulfill duties within the timeframe. No resolves if he remains in power through the deadline. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.