Description
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? is a binary market on EU membership status. It resolves to Yes if any EU member state officially initiates withdrawal or notifies the European Council of such intention by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no withdrawal is initiated by then, it resolves to No. Official EU statements or credible reporting consensus may serve as the resolution source.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.