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Description
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan out by end of 2026? is a political power-outcome market focused on Türkiye’s presidency. It resolves to Yes if Erdoğan is removed from power for any length of time between July 24 and December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET); a removal includes resignation, detention, or any loss of ability to perform duties. If no removal occurs within the window, the market resolves to No, with settlement based on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.