January Meeting: Yes, if the upper bound of the federal funds rate is reduced at any point before the January 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting (emergency cuts also qualify). Settles to No if no qualifying cut occurs by then or the February 7, 2026 deadline passes without an announced rate reduction.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June Meeting | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| September Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December Meeting | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.